Tennis · M15 Yanagawa City · 28/10, 03:30
Prediction: Natsuki Yamamoto vs Taiyo Yamanaka
Team pages: Natsuki Yamamoto · Taiyo Yamanaka
Prediction summary
Winner
Natsuki Yamamoto
Taiyo Yamanaka
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Natsuki Yamamoto
6-4 (W-L)
Taiyo Yamanaka
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natsuki Yamamoto 1536 · Taiyo Yamanaka 1491
| Natsuki Yamamoto | Taiyo Yamanaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Natsuki Yamamoto (rating 1536 vs 1491).
Statistics
| Natsuki Yamamoto | Taiyo Yamanaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-8.7 | 10-10.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 34.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natsuki Yamamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Kenta Kawada M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Toshiki Karigyo M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/10 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Seiya Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Taiyo Yamanaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Yuto Oki M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Anton Shepp M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Max Purcell M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Yuta Tomida M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 30/09 | Nikolai Barsukov M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/09 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Egor Agafonov Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Nikita Ianin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natsuki Yamamoto vs Taiyo Yamanaka?
Our model gives 67% to Taiyo Yamanaka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.