Tennis · M15 Yanagawa City · 28/10, 02:00
Prediction: Takuya Kumasaka vs Ryota Tanuma
Team pages: Takuya Kumasaka · Ryota Tanuma
Prediction summary
Winner
Takuya Kumasaka
Ryota Tanuma
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Takuya Kumasaka
6-4 (W-L)
Ryota Tanuma
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Takuya Kumasaka
0–1
Ryota Tanuma
(1 last)
- 08 Sept0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Takuya Kumasaka 1486 · Ryota Tanuma 1554
| Takuya Kumasaka | Ryota Tanuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryota Tanuma (rating 1486 vs 1554).
- Head-to-head: Takuya Kumasaka 0–1 Ryota Tanuma (1).
Statistics
| Takuya Kumasaka | Ryota Tanuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-8.6 | 10.4-8.2 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.4% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 32.7% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
H2H · Takuya Kumasaka 0 – 1 Ryota Tanuma (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Takuya Kumasaka 0–1 Ryota Tanuma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/22 M25 Sapporo | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Takuya Kumasaka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Kentaro Otsuka M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/10 | Yuto Oki M15 Tanagura |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/10 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Reiya Komagata M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Ryota Tanuma
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/09 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/09 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Jerry Roddick M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Naoya Honda M25 Sapporo |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Mao Takada M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/09 | Naoki Nakagawa M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Takuya Kumasaka vs Ryota Tanuma?
Our model gives 57% to Takuya Kumasaka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.