Tennis · M15 Yanagawa City · 28/10, 03:30
Prediction: Toshiki Karigyo vs Yua Taka
Team pages: Toshiki Karigyo · Yua Taka
Prediction summary
Winner
Toshiki Karigyo
Yua Taka
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Toshiki Karigyo
4-6 (W-L)
Yua Taka
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Toshiki Karigyo
0–1
Yua Taka
(1 last)
- 27 May0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Toshiki Karigyo 1521 · Yua Taka 1501
| Toshiki Karigyo | Yua Taka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Toshiki Karigyo 0–1 Yua Taka (1).
- Note: Toshiki Karigyo makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Toshiki Karigyo | Yua Taka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.9 | 9.5-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 32.7% | 32.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
H2H · Toshiki Karigyo 0 – 1 Yua Taka (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Toshiki Karigyo 0–1 Yua Taka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/26 M15 Karuizawa | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Toshiki Karigyo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Oscar Brown M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 19/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Taiyo Uenoyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Ye Chen M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ku Keon Kang M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Eric Jr. Olivarez M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Koyu Yanagi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Yua Taka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Tsz Fu Wong M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Yu Tanaka M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Egor Pleshivtsev M25 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Tin Chen M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Isaac Becroft M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Wenze Li M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Matthew Shearer M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Jerry Roddick M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Kazushi Idogaki M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Naoki Nakagawa M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Toshiki Karigyo vs Yua Taka?
Our model gives 58% to Yua Taka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.