Tennis · M15 Yanagawa City · 28/10, 05:00
Prediction: Yu Tanaka vs Saki Tange
Team pages: Yu Tanaka · Saki Tange
Prediction summary
Winner
Yu Tanaka
Saki Tange
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Yu Tanaka
5-5 (W-L)
Saki Tange
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yu Tanaka 1530 · Saki Tange 1504
| Yu Tanaka | Saki Tange | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yu Tanaka | Saki Tange | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-8.4 | 9.7-9.3 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 69.3% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yu Tanaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Riku Takahata M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/10 | Hyu Kawanishi M15 Tanagura |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 21/10 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 19/10 | Yua Taka M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Keisuke Saitoh M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Makoto Ochi M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Naoki Tajima M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 7-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui M15 Astana |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Saki Tange
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Kazushi Idogaki M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Sanhui Shin M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Alejandro Hayen M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Riku Nakamoto M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Sergey Petrov M15 Astana |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Daniel Yurekli M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yu Tanaka vs Saki Tange?
Our model gives 58% to Yu Tanaka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.