Tennis · WTA Tokyo · 28/10, 04:00

Prediction: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

Team pages: Kamilla Rakhimova · Ekaterina Alexandrova

Prediction summary
Winner
38% 62%
Kamilla Rakhimova Ekaterina Alexandrova
Estimated games
21.1Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kamilla Rakhimova 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLWWLWL
Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWLLWWW
Head-to-head
Kamilla Rakhimova 1–0 Ekaterina Alexandrova (1 last)
  • 01 Sept2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kamilla Rakhimova 1540 · Ekaterina Alexandrova 1536
Kamilla RakhimovaEkaterina Alexandrova
Our model51%49%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Kamilla Rakhimova 1–0 Ekaterina Alexandrova (1).
  • Note: Kamilla Rakhimova makes many double faults (4.2/match).
  • Note: Ekaterina Alexandrova makes many double faults (5.2/match).

Statistics

Kamilla RakhimovaEkaterina Alexandrova
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.4-1
Games (G-P)11.2-10.211.6-10.2
Aces24.2
Double faults4.25.2
1st serve %59.4%69.3%
Break %42.6%44.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +0.6
Over 20.5: 54% · 1.90 Under 20.5: 46% · 1.80

H2H · Kamilla Rakhimova 1 – 0 Ekaterina Alexandrova (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kamilla Rakhimova 1–0 Ekaterina Alexandrova

Swipe the table sideways →

DateSetsGamesRes.
01/09/21
US Open Women
2-012-5W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kamilla Rakhimova

WWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/10 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Tokyo · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
24/10 Shiho Tsujioka
WTA Tokyo · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
19/10 Marie Bouzkova
WTA Ningbo · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
18/10 Tatiana Prozorova
WTA Ningbo · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
17/10 Dayana Yastremska
WTA Ningbo · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
11/10 Han Shi
WTA Wuhan · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
10/10 Sofia Kenin
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
05/10 Iva Jovic
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
03/10 Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-1 16-11 W
01/10 Marina Bassols Ribera
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 13-10 W

Ekaterina Alexandrova

LLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Ann Li
WTA Tokyo · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
23/10 Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Ningbo · Hard
1-2 9-16 L
20/10 Hanyu Guo
WTA Ningbo · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
12/10 Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Wuhan · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
08/10 Mirra Andreeva
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
06/10 Linda Noskova
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
04/10 Diana Shnaider
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
02/10 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
04/09 Marta Kostyuk
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
03/09 Kimberly Birrell
US Open Women · Hard
2-1 14-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova?

Our model gives 62% to Ekaterina Alexandrova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.