Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 28/10, 04:00
Prediction: Yuta Shimizu vs Yu Hsiou Hsu
Team pages: Yuta Shimizu · Yu Hsiou Hsu
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuta Shimizu
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yuta Shimizu
4-6 (W-L)
Yu Hsiou Hsu
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yuta Shimizu
2–5
Yu Hsiou Hsu
(7 last)
- 26 Mar2-1 16-12W
- 10 Nov0-2 10-13L
- 09 Nov0-2 7-12L
- 17 Jun1-2 13-14L
- 12 Jan2-1 19-19W
- 02 Aug0-2 8-13L
- 31 May0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuta Shimizu 1514 · Yu Hsiou Hsu 1524
| Yuta Shimizu | Yu Hsiou Hsu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yuta Shimizu dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 49% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Yuta Shimizu 2–5 Yu Hsiou Hsu (7).
Statistics
| Yuta Shimizu | Yu Hsiou Hsu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12 | 11.7-9.9 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 49% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Yuta Shimizu 2 – 5 Yu Hsiou Hsu (7)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yuta Shimizu 2–5 Yu Hsiou Hsu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/26 Challenger Yokkaichi | 2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 10/11/25 Challenger Kobe | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/11/23 Challenger Matsuyama | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/06/22 M25 Wichita | 1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 12/01/20 ITF M15 Hong Kong | 2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 02/08/19 ITF M25 Nonthaburi | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/05/18 ITF Singapore F3 | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuta Shimizu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/10 | Max Purcell Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 09/09 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Aditya Vishal Balsekar Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/08 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Yu Hsiou Hsu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 20/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Mohammad Alkotop Asian Games |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Olle Wallin Davis Cup |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | James Trotter Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Masamichi Imamura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/08 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuta Shimizu vs Yu Hsiou Hsu?
Our model gives 55% to Yu Hsiou Hsu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.