Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 28/10, 05:30
Prediction: Charles Broom vs Yaroslav Demin
Team pages: Charles Broom · Yaroslav Demin
Prediction summary
Winner
Charles Broom
Yaroslav Demin
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Charles Broom
7-3 (W-L)
Yaroslav Demin
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charles Broom 1545 · Yaroslav Demin 1580
| Charles Broom | Yaroslav Demin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Charles Broom | Yaroslav Demin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.3 | 11.9-9.3 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 72% |
| Break % | 38% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charles Broom
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 31/08 | Hongjin Qi Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 27/08 | Max Basing Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Yaroslav Demin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/10 | Qian Sun Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/10 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/10 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Filip Peliwo M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charles Broom vs Yaroslav Demin?
Our model gives 57% to Charles Broom, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.