Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 28/10, 04:00
Prediction: Kaichi Uchida vs Harold Mayot
Team pages: Kaichi Uchida · Harold Mayot
Prediction summary
Winner
Kaichi Uchida
Harold Mayot
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Kaichi Uchida
6-4 (W-L)
Harold Mayot
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaichi Uchida 1454 · Harold Mayot 1580
| Kaichi Uchida | Harold Mayot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harold Mayot (rating 1454 vs 1580).
- Harold Mayot is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kaichi Uchida | Harold Mayot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-12 | 12.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 30.9% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaichi Uchida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Federico Cina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Linang Xiao Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Harold Mayot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Tianhui Zhang Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 20/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaichi Uchida vs Harold Mayot?
Our model gives 77% to Harold Mayot, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.