Tennis · M25 Las Vegas · 27/10, 18:30
Prediction: Preston Stearns vs Jan Chlodnicki
Team pages: Preston Stearns · Jan Chlodnicki
Prediction summary
Winner
Preston Stearns
Jan Chlodnicki
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Preston Stearns
8-2 (W-L)
Jan Chlodnicki
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Preston Stearns 1562 · Jan Chlodnicki 1492
| Preston Stearns | Jan Chlodnicki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Preston Stearns (rating 1562 vs 1492).
- Preston Stearns is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Preston Stearns makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Preston Stearns | Jan Chlodnicki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-8 | 7.7-8.9 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 78.5% | 57.1% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Preston Stearns
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/08 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Marko Mesarovic M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Joshua Peck M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Noa Vukadin M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Jon Gamble M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Simon Caldwell UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Gregory Bernadsky UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Henry Lessard UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Adrian Treacy UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Jan Chlodnicki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Linus Lagerbohm M15 Szczawno |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Filip Kosinski M15 Szczawno |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/09 | Maciej Matuszczyk M15 Szczawno |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Jan Wygona M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Bruno Kokot M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Jakub Solarski M15 Warsaw |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Peter Fajta M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Alan Bojarski M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Preston Stearns vs Jan Chlodnicki?
Our model gives 72% to Preston Stearns, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.