Tennis · M25 Las Vegas · 27/10, 17:00

Prediction: Noah Johnston vs Photos Photiades

Team pages: Noah Johnston · Photos Photiades

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Noah Johnston Photos Photiades
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Noah Johnston 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLWWLLL
Photos Photiades 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLLLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Noah Johnston 1469 · Photos Photiades 1478
Noah JohnstonPhotos Photiades
Our model49%51%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Noah JohnstonPhotos Photiades
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.40.9-1.4
Games (G-P)10.2-11.88.5-12
Aces2.62.2
Double faults3.52.5
1st serve %61%62.8%
Break %52.5%36.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Noah Johnston

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Jelani Sarr
M25 Edwardsville
0-2 8-13 L
15/07 Tristan McCormick
M15 Rochester
0-2 9-13 L
10/07 Noah Zamora
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
1-2 15-15 L
09/07 Jacob Brumm
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-0 13-7 W
08/07 Hugo Hashimoto
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-1 13-14 W
01/07 Noah Zamora
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
04/06 Ozan Baris
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
03/06 Kaylan Bigun
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-1 14-13 W
28/05 Lucas Marionneau
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
0-2 10-14 L
26/05 Matt Kuhar
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Photos Photiades

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/08 Elijah Poritzky
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
19/08 Birtan Duran
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
17/08 Asier Ayllon Prado
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
2-1 20-19 W
10/08 Vito Tonejc
M15 Turku
1-2 9-10 L
09/07 Jonas Eriksson Ziverts
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
07/07 Louay Makke
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 9-12 W
30/06 Andrea Paolini
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
23/06 Dominick Mosejczuk
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
17/06 Paul Inchauspe
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Ahmed Mouhan
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Noah Johnston vs Photos Photiades?

Our model gives 62% to Noah Johnston, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.