Tennis · W50 Morelia · 27/10, 23:00
Prediction: Midori Castillo Meza vs Anastasia Tikhonova
Team pages: Midori Castillo Meza · Anastasia Tikhonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Midori Castillo Meza
Anastasia Tikhonova
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Midori Castillo Meza
4-6 (W-L)
Anastasia Tikhonova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Midori Castillo Meza 1483 · Anastasia Tikhonova 1482
| Midori Castillo Meza | Anastasia Tikhonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Anastasia Tikhonova makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Midori Castillo Meza | Anastasia Tikhonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-11.1 | 10.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 49.2% | 69% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Midori Castillo Meza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Sophia Biolay W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Tereza Krejcova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Zi Ying Ruan W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Lan Mi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Sophie Suh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Bentley Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Shaya Jovanovic UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Abigail Haile UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Simone Kay UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Anastasia Tikhonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Ella Mcdonald W50 Austin |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 22/10 | Yeon Woo Ku W50 Austin |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Xinyu Gao W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/10 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W50 Austin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/10 | Mariia Tkacheva WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Simona Waltert WTA Adana · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/09 | Aysegul Mert WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Anastasia Gasanova WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Midori Castillo Meza vs Anastasia Tikhonova?
Our model gives 71% to Anastasia Tikhonova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.