Tennis · W50 Morelia · 27/10, 23:00

Prediction: Maddalena Giordano vs Ana Carmen Zamburek

Team pages: Maddalena Giordano · Ana Carmen Zamburek

Prediction summary
Winner
27% 73%
Maddalena Giordano Ana Carmen Zamburek
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Maddalena Giordano 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLLLWWLL
Ana Carmen Zamburek 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maddalena Giordano 1450 · Ana Carmen Zamburek 1561
Maddalena GiordanoAna Carmen Zamburek
Our model35%65%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ana Carmen Zamburek (rating 1450 vs 1561).
  • Ana Carmen Zamburek is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Maddalena Giordano makes many double faults (4.9/match).

Statistics

Maddalena GiordanoAna Carmen Zamburek
Win %20%80%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.71.6-0.5
Games (G-P)9.6-12.111.8-6.6
Aces20.6
Double faults4.93.2
1st serve %55.3%63.1%
Break %44.1%65.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maddalena Giordano

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/10 Maayan Laron
W50 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
01/10 Ksenia Smirnova
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
30/09 Manon Favier
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 16-10 W
20/09 Chelsea Fontenel
W50 Yecla
1-2 13-16 L
01/09 Noemi Maines
W15 Fiano Romano
1-2 16-18 L
24/08 Cristina Pescucci
W35 Verbier Qual
0-2 4-12 L
19/08 Berta Passola
W35 Verbier
0-2 5-12 L
13/07 Anastasiya Kuparev
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
0-2 8-13 L
12/07 Maria Torre Moral
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-3 W
08/07 Georgina Hays
W35 Don Benito
0-2 7-12 L

Ana Carmen Zamburek

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/10 Ximena Senties
W50 Morelia
2-0 12-5 W
04/07 Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso
Billie Jean King Cup · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
03/07 Natalia Trigosso
Billie Jean King Cup · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Juliana Rodriguez
Billie Jean King Cup · Hard
2-1 18-12 W
25/06 Ana Candiotto
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
24/06 Josefina Estevez
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
23/06 Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
22/06 Martina Maria Bovio
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
13/06 Briley Rhoden
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
11/06 Juliette Nask
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maddalena Giordano vs Ana Carmen Zamburek?

Our model gives 73% to Ana Carmen Zamburek, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.