Prediction: Nuno Borges vs Casper Ruud
Team pages: Nuno Borges · Casper Ruud
Prediction summary
Winner
Nuno Borges
Casper Ruud
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nuno Borges
5-5 (W-L)
Casper Ruud
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nuno Borges
1–2
Casper Ruud
(3 last)
- 31 Jul0-2 9-13L
- 28 May3-1 20-11W
- 22 Feb0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nuno Borges 1522 · Casper Ruud 1548
| Nuno Borges | Casper Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Nuno Borges dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 43.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Nuno Borges 1–2 Casper Ruud (3).
Statistics
| Nuno Borges | Casper Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.7 | 13.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.8% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -0.7
Over 23.5: 45% · 2.00
Under 23.5: 55% · 1.72
H2H · Nuno Borges 1 – 2 Casper Ruud (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nuno Borges 1–2 Casper Ruud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/25 ATP Toronto | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/05/25 French Open | 3-1 | 20-11 | W |
| 22/02/24 ATP Los Cabos | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nuno Borges
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Mika Brunold ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Facundo Diaz Acosta ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Novak Djokovic ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Learner Tien US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Andrey Rublev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Thanasi Kokkinakis ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 08/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Casper Ruud
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Dominic Stephan Stricker ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/10 | Rafael Jodar ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/10 | Learner Tien ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/10 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Luciano Darderi ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Francisco Cerundolo Laver Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 19/09 | Fnu Nidunjianzan Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/09 | Rigele Te Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nuno Borges vs Casper Ruud?
Our model gives 60% to Casper Ruud, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.