Tennis · M15 Yanagawa City · 28/10, 02:00
Prediction: Sora Fukuda vs Shu Muto
Team pages: Sora Fukuda · Shu Muto
Prediction summary
Winner
Sora Fukuda
Shu Muto
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sora Fukuda
6-4 (W-L)
Shu Muto
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sora Fukuda 1577 · Shu Muto 1440
| Sora Fukuda | Shu Muto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sora Fukuda (rating 1577 vs 1440).
- Sora Fukuda is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Sora Fukuda | Shu Muto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.5 | 8.7-11.5 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sora Fukuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 18/10 | Oscar Brown UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Kazuki Nishiwaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 16/10 | Kosuke Shibano UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Philip Sekulic M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Yusuke Kusuhara M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Alibek Kachmazov M15 Astana |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Sergey Petrov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Shu Muto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Reiya Komagata M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Reiya Komagata M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Zhao Zhao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Qian Sun M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Kazuki Nishiwaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sora Fukuda vs Shu Muto?
Our model gives 77% to Sora Fukuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.