Tennis · M15 Yanagawa City · 28/10, 02:00
Prediction: Hiromasa Koyama vs Markus Malaszszak
Team pages: Hiromasa Koyama · Markus Malaszszak
Prediction summary
Winner
Hiromasa Koyama
Markus Malaszszak
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hiromasa Koyama
7-3 (W-L)
Markus Malaszszak
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hiromasa Koyama 1574 · Markus Malaszszak 1505
| Hiromasa Koyama | Markus Malaszszak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hiromasa Koyama (rating 1574 vs 1505).
- Markus Malaszszak dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 43.3% break avg.
- Note: Hiromasa Koyama makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Markus Malaszszak makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Hiromasa Koyama | Markus Malaszszak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-8.8 | 11.6-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 77.4% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hiromasa Koyama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Toshiki Karigyo M15 Tanagura |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 13/09 | Zhao Zhao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/09 | Jaesung Choe M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/09 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Zichen Shao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Yue Xia M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Qian Sun M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Lachlan Vickery M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Shinji Hazawa M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
Markus Malaszszak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Tin Chen M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 06/10 | Ko Suzuki M25 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 29/09 | Zhao Zhao M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Thanapet Chanta M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Julien De Cuyper M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 11/09 | Peter Bertran M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Adrian Arcon M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hiromasa Koyama vs Markus Malaszszak?
Our model gives 62% to Hiromasa Koyama, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.