Tennis · W15 Monastir · 28/10, 09:30
Prediction: Marie Vogt vs Yui Watanabe
Team pages: Marie Vogt
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Vogt
Yui Watanabe
Estimated games
19
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Vogt
6-4 (W-L)
Yui Watanabe
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Vogt 1538 · Yui Watanabe 1584
| Marie Vogt | Yui Watanabe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yui Watanabe (rating 1538 vs 1584).
- Yui Watanabe is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Yui Watanabe makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Marie Vogt | Yui Watanabe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.9 | 10.4-5.5 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 62% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Vogt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Sofia Camila Rojas W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Baotong Xu W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Polina Berezina W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 11/10 | Daria Yesypchuk WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Lidia Encheva W50 Burgas |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 22/09 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Ankara · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Ekaterina Yashina WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Ashmitha Easwaramurthi WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/08 | Pia Lovric W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Yui Watanabe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Yana Kim W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 30/07 | Marianne Angel Gonzalez W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Misa Malkin W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Aylin Yuriana Arias W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/01 | Brandy Walker UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/01 | Ahniya Vustsina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/01 | Briley Rhoden UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/01 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/01 | Mackenzie Clark UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/01 | Juny Huh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Vogt vs Yui Watanabe?
Our model gives 66% to Marie Vogt, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.