Tennis · Challenger Brest · 27/10, 12:30
Prediction: Matisse Bobichon vs Michael Geerts
Team pages: Matisse Bobichon · Michael Geerts
Prediction summary
Winner
Matisse Bobichon
Michael Geerts
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Matisse Bobichon
6-4 (W-L)
Michael Geerts
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matisse Bobichon 1522 · Michael Geerts 1535
| Matisse Bobichon | Michael Geerts | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Michael Geerts makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Matisse Bobichon | Michael Geerts | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.7 | 11.4-12 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 35.7% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matisse Bobichon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 25/10 | Yannik Kelm Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/10 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Billy Harris Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/10 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M15 Pontevedra |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/10 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Michael Geerts
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Niels McDonald Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/10 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/10 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Joao Domingues Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 27/09 | Vladyslav Orlov Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 19/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matisse Bobichon vs Michael Geerts?
Our model gives 51% to Michael Geerts, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.