Tennis · M15 Monastir · 27/10, 09:30
Prediction: Andrea Bacaloni vs Leo Deflandre
Team pages: Andrea Bacaloni · Leo Deflandre
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Bacaloni
Leo Deflandre
Estimated games
18.7
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Bacaloni
4-6 (W-L)
Leo Deflandre
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Bacaloni 1499 · Leo Deflandre 1482
| Andrea Bacaloni | Leo Deflandre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Andrea Bacaloni | Leo Deflandre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-8.9 | 9.1-8 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 57.6% | 30.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Bacaloni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Pontevedra |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 08/10 | Tanguy Genier M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Javier Munoz Fuster M15 Pontevedra |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Jordan Hasson M15 Baku |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Karol Filar M15 Baku |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Aditya Kothari M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 09/09 | Emile Hudd M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Makar Krivoshchekov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Kevin Edengren M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Leo Deflandre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 15/09 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 10/09 | Matthew Carroll M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Kael Shalin Shah M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Luc Fomba M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 30/08 | Lluc Mir Anglada M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Marvin Moeller M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Justas Trainauskas M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Otakar Ungerman M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/04 | Gilberto Ravasio M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 9-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Bacaloni vs Leo Deflandre?
Our model gives 63% to Andrea Bacaloni, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.