Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 28/10, 09:00
Prediction: Arda Azkara vs Volodymyr Iakubenko
Team pages: Arda Azkara · Volodymyr Iakubenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Arda Azkara
Volodymyr Iakubenko
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Arda Azkara
6-4 (W-L)
Volodymyr Iakubenko
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arda Azkara 1570 · Volodymyr Iakubenko 1498
| Arda Azkara | Volodymyr Iakubenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arda Azkara (rating 1570 vs 1498).
- Arda Azkara dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 63.5% break avg.
- Arda Azkara is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Arda Azkara | Volodymyr Iakubenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-11.4 | 10.5-11.1 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.5% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 63.5% | 29.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arda Azkara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 24/10 | Marek Gengel M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Pieter De Lange M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/10 | Mikhail Khodorchenko M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/10 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Baku |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Rohan Mehra M15 Baku |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Thomas Drayton M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 06/09 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Turku |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Volodymyr Iakubenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Ruslan Tiukaev M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/10 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/10 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Baku |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 01/10 | Makar Krivoshchekov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Aleksandre Bakshi M15 Baku |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Marcus Walters M15 Baku |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/08 | Sergey Petrov M15 Astana |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Amir Omarkhanov M15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Logan Zapp M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arda Azkara vs Volodymyr Iakubenko?
Our model gives 63% to Arda Azkara, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.