Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 28/10, 09:00
Prediction: Karim Ibrahim vs Ruslan Tiukaev
Team pages: Karim Ibrahim · Ruslan Tiukaev
Prediction summary
Winner
Karim Ibrahim
Ruslan Tiukaev
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Karim Ibrahim
3-7 (W-L)
Ruslan Tiukaev
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karim Ibrahim 1455 · Ruslan Tiukaev 1507
| Karim Ibrahim | Ruslan Tiukaev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ruslan Tiukaev (rating 1455 vs 1507).
- Ruslan Tiukaev is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Ruslan Tiukaev makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Karim Ibrahim | Ruslan Tiukaev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-13.3 | 11.2-9.4 |
| Aces | 10.7 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 74.5% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 21.5% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karim Ibrahim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Tomas Lanik M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Robert Strombachs M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Fares Zakaria M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/09 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 23/09 | Anton Arzhankin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 02/09 | Jake Fellows M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-1 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Markus Molder M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Shanker Heisnam M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Ruslan Tiukaev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Melih Anavatan M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/09 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Zura Tkemaladze M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Roman Kharlamov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Avetik Ghazaryan M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/09 | Lorenzo Ferri M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Fermin Tenti M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/08 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karim Ibrahim vs Ruslan Tiukaev?
Our model gives 55% to Ruslan Tiukaev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.