Tennis · M15 Yanagawa City · 28/10, 02:00

Prediction: Jumpei Yamasaki vs James Connel

Team pages: Jumpei Yamasaki · James Connel

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Jumpei Yamasaki James Connel
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Jumpei Yamasaki 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLLLWWL
James Connel 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLWLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jumpei Yamasaki 1495 · James Connel 1496
Jumpei YamasakiJames Connel
Our model50%50%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Jumpei YamasakiJames Connel
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (6) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1-1.11-1.1
Games (G-P)9.3-9.99.6-9.9
Aces42.1
Double faults1.72.3
1st serve %65.6%66.1%
Break %36.7%29.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jumpei Yamasaki

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/10 Chun-Chien Hou
M15 Tanagura
0-2 4-12 L
22/10 Markus Malaszszak
M15 Tanagura
2-0 13-7 W
20/10 Yuta Tomida
M15 Tanagura
2-1 15-11 W
04/10 Martin Borisiouk
Challenger Wuning · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
29/09 Max Purcell
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
21/07 Taisei Ichikawa
M15 Bali
0-2 4-10 L
12/06 Jangjun Kim
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
11/06 Hayden Jones
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
10/06 Colin Sinclair
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
08/06 Asahi Harazaki
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

James Connel

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/10 Hyu Kawanishi
M15 Tanagura
0-2 2-12 L
02/10 Marcus Walters
M15 Baku
0-2 7-12 L
01/10 Nicolas Jadoun
M15 Baku
2-0 13-8 W
29/09 Ivan Gretskiy
M15 Baku
2-0 12-3 W
24/09 Arvid Nordquist
M15 Baku
0-2 12-14 L
23/09 Louis Larue
M15 Baku
2-0 12-8 W
17/09 Damien Salvestre
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
15/09 Ali Yazdani
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
10/09 Kasra Rahmani
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
09/09 Taym Alazmeh
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jumpei Yamasaki vs James Connel?

Our model gives 50% to Jumpei Yamasaki, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.