Tennis · M15 Yanagawa City · 27/10, 03:00
Prediction: Kosuke Shibano vs Ryo Minakata
Team pages: Kosuke Shibano · Ryo Minakata
Prediction summary
Winner
Kosuke Shibano
Ryo Minakata
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Kosuke Shibano
3-7 (W-L)
Ryo Minakata
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kosuke Shibano 1485 · Ryo Minakata 1479
| Kosuke Shibano | Ryo Minakata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Kosuke Shibano | Ryo Minakata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-9.9 | 10.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 55.2% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kosuke Shibano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Liam Youn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Sora Fukuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Thomas Linley UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Alexey Shtengelov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/10 | Keisuke Ota UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Kanan Gasimov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Hanyi Liu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Jangjun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Ryo Minakata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Lin Hao-Yu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Zhengyu Sun M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Azuma Visaya M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Alexey Aleshchev M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Matt Kleiman M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/06 | Oliver Wilcox M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kosuke Shibano vs Ryo Minakata?
Our model gives 55% to Kosuke Shibano, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.