Tennis · M15 Yanagawa City · 27/10, 02:00

Prediction: Riku Takahata vs Yu Tanaka

Team pages: Riku Takahata · Yu Tanaka

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Riku Takahata Yu Tanaka
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Riku Takahata 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLWLWLLL
Yu Tanaka 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Riku Takahata 1493 · Yu Tanaka 1526
Riku TakahataYu Tanaka
Our model45%55%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Riku TakahataYu Tanaka
Win %50%60%
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.3-0.9
Games (G-P)10-10.210.6-8.9
Aces1.82.8
Double faults2.51.4
1st serve %65%72.9%
Break %55%67.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Riku Takahata

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/10 Noritaka Koizumi
M15 Tanagura
0-2 4-12 L
19/10 Masaki Ishikawa
M15 Tanagura
2-1 8-9 W
08/09 Chase Ferguson
M25 Sapporo
0-2 4-12 L
07/09 Takumi Katsuda
M25 Sapporo
2-0 12-4 W
01/09 Noritaka Koizumi
M25 Urayasu
0-2 8-13 L
31/08 Masaki Ishikawa
M25 Urayasu
2-0 12-1 W
04/08 Ofek Shimanov
M15 Astana
0-2 11-14 L
29/07 Kasidit Samrej
M15 Astana
1-2 16-19 L
28/07 Arkhip Kozlov
M15 Astana
2-0 12-7 W
27/07 Makar Krivoshchekov
M15 Astana
2-1 13-11 W

Yu Tanaka

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/10 Hyu Kawanishi
M15 Tanagura
1-2 16-17 L
21/10 Kokoro Isomura
M15 Tanagura
2-1 16-9 W
19/10 Yua Taka
M15 Tanagura
2-0 12-6 W
10/09 Keisuke Saitoh
M25 Sapporo
0-2 6-12 L
09/09 Ryuki Matsuda
M25 Sapporo
2-0 12-4 W
07/09 Yuichiro Inui
M25 Sapporo
2-0 12-5 W
01/09 Makoto Ochi
M25 Urayasu
0-2 3-12 L
31/08 Naoki Tajima
M25 Urayasu
2-0 7-4 W
06/08 Shunsuke Mitsui
M15 Astana
0-2 9-13 L
04/08 Saveliy Ivanov
M15 Astana
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Riku Takahata vs Yu Tanaka?

Our model gives 64% to Yu Tanaka.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.