Tennis · M15 Yanagawa City · 27/10, 02:00
Prediction: Kenta Kawada vs Natsuki Yamamoto
Team pages: Kenta Kawada · Natsuki Yamamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Kenta Kawada
Natsuki Yamamoto
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kenta Kawada
3-7 (W-L)
Natsuki Yamamoto
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kenta Kawada
0–1
Natsuki Yamamoto
(1 last)
- 30 Sept1-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kenta Kawada 1473 · Natsuki Yamamoto 1529
| Kenta Kawada | Natsuki Yamamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Natsuki Yamamoto (rating 1473 vs 1529).
- Head-to-head: Kenta Kawada 0–1 Natsuki Yamamoto (1).
Statistics
| Kenta Kawada | Natsuki Yamamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11 | 9.6-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Kenta Kawada 0 – 1 Natsuki Yamamoto (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kenta Kawada 0–1 Natsuki Yamamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/26 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 1-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kenta Kawada
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Kirill Kistanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/10 | Shotaro Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Abdumalik Kamalov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Seiya Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/09 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 27/09 | Abdumalik Kamalov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Taki Adachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Masaki Ishikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Natsuki Yamamoto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Toshiki Karigyo M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/10 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Seiya Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kenta Kawada vs Natsuki Yamamoto?
Our model gives 65% to Natsuki Yamamoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.