Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 27/10, 08:30
Prediction: Naoya Honda vs Filip Peliwo
Team pages: Naoya Honda · Filip Peliwo
Prediction summary
Winner
Naoya Honda
Filip Peliwo
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Naoya Honda
5-5 (W-L)
Filip Peliwo
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naoya Honda 1505 · Filip Peliwo 1545
| Naoya Honda | Filip Peliwo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filip Peliwo (rating 1505 vs 1545).
Statistics
| Naoya Honda | Filip Peliwo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.8 | 10.3-8.5 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 35.8% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naoya Honda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/10 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Kristjan Tamm Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Jesse Flores Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Hao Duan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Ryota Tanuma M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Naoki Nakagawa M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Filip Peliwo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/10 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/10 | Mikalai Haliak M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Hao-Yu Lin M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Xirui Han M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Jordan Chiu M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Yaroslav Demin M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Max Purcell Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naoya Honda vs Filip Peliwo?
Our model gives 52% to Naoya Honda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.