Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 27/10, 05:30
Prediction: Jake Delaney vs Alexandr Binda
Team pages: Jake Delaney · Alexandr Binda
Prediction summary
Winner
Jake Delaney
Alexandr Binda
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jake Delaney
4-6 (W-L)
Alexandr Binda
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jake Delaney 1500 · Alexandr Binda 1542
| Jake Delaney | Alexandr Binda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandr Binda (rating 1500 vs 1542).
Statistics
| Jake Delaney | Alexandr Binda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (4) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.1 | 11.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 10.6 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 77% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 32.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jake Delaney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Coleman Wong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Wihan Van Der Merwe M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/10 | Harrison Satara M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/10 | Derek Pham M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Lachlan Vickery M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Alexandr Binda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/10 | Jia Hu Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Adam Walton Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Yinchuan |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 25/09 | Jesse Flores M25 Yinchuan |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jake Delaney vs Alexandr Binda?
Our model gives 50% to Jake Delaney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.