Tennis · WTA Guangzhou · 28/10, 04:00
Prediction: Paula Badosa vs Sinja Kraus
Team pages: Paula Badosa · Sinja Kraus
Prediction summary
Winner
Paula Badosa
Sinja Kraus
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Paula Badosa
5-5 (W-L)
Sinja Kraus
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Paula Badosa
1–0
Sinja Kraus
(1 last)
- 12 Mar2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paula Badosa 1536 · Sinja Kraus 1518
| Paula Badosa | Sinja Kraus | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 70% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Paula Badosa 1–0 Sinja Kraus (1).
- Note: Paula Badosa makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Paula Badosa | Sinja Kraus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.1 | 10.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 6.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Paula Badosa 1 – 0 Sinja Kraus (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paula Badosa 1–0 Sinja Kraus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 WTA Austin | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paula Badosa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/10 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 19/09 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Mary Stoiana WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Justina Mikulskyte WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Coco Gauff US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Daria Kasatkina US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Sinja Kraus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Panna Udvardy WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Talia Gibson WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Sofia Kenin WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/10 | Momoko Kobori WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 11/10 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Magda Linette WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 04/10 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Maya Joint WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/09 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paula Badosa vs Sinja Kraus?
Our model gives 62% to Paula Badosa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.