Prediction: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson
Team pages: Alexandra Eala · Talia Gibson
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandra Eala
Talia Gibson
Estimated games
21.3Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandra Eala
8-2 (W-L)
Talia Gibson
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexandra Eala
2–0
Talia Gibson
(2 last)
- 17 Aug2-1 16-13W
- 29 Jun2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandra Eala 1498 · Talia Gibson 1546
| Alexandra Eala | Talia Gibson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Talia Gibson (rating 1498 vs 1546).
- Head-to-head: Alexandra Eala 2–0 Talia Gibson (2).
Statistics
| Alexandra Eala | Talia Gibson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.9 | 10-9.6 |
| Aces | 1 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +0.8
Over 20.5: 55% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 45% · 1.83
H2H · Alexandra Eala 2 – 0 Talia Gibson (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexandra Eala 2–0 Talia Gibson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/23 ITF W25 Aldershot | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/06/23 ITF W40 Palma del Rio | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandra Eala
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Mika Stojsavljevic WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Diane Parry WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/10 | Han Shi WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Xiyu Wang Asian Games |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/09 | Iva Jovic US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Oleksandra Oliynykova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Mary Stoiana US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Talia Gibson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Harriet Dart WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/10 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Maria Sakkari WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Fiona Ferro WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson?
Our model gives 59% to Alexandra Eala, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.