Tennis · Challenger Seoul · 27/10, 06:00
Prediction: Terence Atmane vs Koki Matsuda
Team pages: Terence Atmane · Koki Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Terence Atmane
Koki Matsuda
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Terence Atmane
6-4 (W-L)
Koki Matsuda
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Terence Atmane 1514 · Koki Matsuda 1472
| Terence Atmane | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Terence Atmane (rating 1514 vs 1472).
- Terence Atmane dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 52.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Terence Atmane | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-13.3 | 9.8-12.4 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 78.2% | 69% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 22.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Terence Atmane
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 20/10 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Dominik Palan Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Jaime Faria ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Jaume Munar US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 25-29 | L |
| 18/08 | Alexander Zverev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/08 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Koki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/10 | Geun Jun Kim Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Yi Zhou Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Evan Zhu Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Terence Atmane vs Koki Matsuda?
Our model gives 75% to Terence Atmane, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.