Tennis · Challenger Seoul · 30/10, 03:00
Prediction: Sho Shimabukuro vs Coleman Wong
Team pages: Sho Shimabukuro · Coleman Wong
Prediction summary
Winner
Sho Shimabukuro
Coleman Wong
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sho Shimabukuro
4-6 (W-L)
Coleman Wong
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sho Shimabukuro
3–0
Coleman Wong
(3 last)
- 02 Nov2-0 12-7W
- 11 Nov2-0 13-8W
- 07 Sept2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sho Shimabukuro 1505 · Coleman Wong 1581
| Sho Shimabukuro | Coleman Wong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleman Wong (rating 1505 vs 1581).
- Coleman Wong dominates on serve: 15.2 aces and 51.6% break avg.
- Coleman Wong is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sho Shimabukuro 3–0 Coleman Wong (3).
Statistics
| Sho Shimabukuro | Coleman Wong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.6 | 13.2-9.8 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 15.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 78.4% |
| Break % | 31.6% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Sho Shimabukuro 3 – 0 Coleman Wong (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sho Shimabukuro 3–0 Coleman Wong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/25 Challenger Seoul | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/11/24 Challenger Kobe | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09/24 Challenger Shanghai | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sho Shimabukuro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Roman Safiullin ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 07/10 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Hugo Gaston ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Anton Shepp Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | James Watt Davis Cup |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/08 | Arthur Rinderknech US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 17-25 | L |
Coleman Wong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Sanhui Shin Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 24/10 | Yi Zhou Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Jake Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/10 | Quentin Halys ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Lloyd Harris ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sho Shimabukuro vs Coleman Wong?
Our model gives 64% to Coleman Wong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.