Tennis · Challenger Seoul · 29/10, 03:00
Prediction: Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong Chan Hong
Team pages: Alibek Kachmazov · Seong Chan Hong
Prediction summary
Winner
Alibek Kachmazov
Seong Chan Hong
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Alibek Kachmazov
7-3 (W-L)
Seong Chan Hong
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alibek Kachmazov
2–0
Seong Chan Hong
(2 last)
- 17 Sept2-0 12-5W
- 08 May2-1 15-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alibek Kachmazov 1631 · Seong Chan Hong 1494
| Alibek Kachmazov | Seong Chan Hong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alibek Kachmazov (rating 1631 vs 1494).
- Alibek Kachmazov dominates on serve: 9 aces and 40% break avg.
- Alibek Kachmazov is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Alibek Kachmazov 2–0 Seong Chan Hong (2).
Statistics
| Alibek Kachmazov | Seong Chan Hong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.6 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-10.6 | 10.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 9 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 78.2% | 70% |
| Break % | 40% | 37.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Alibek Kachmazov 2 – 0 Seong Chan Hong (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alibek Kachmazov 2–0 Seong Chan Hong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/24 ATP Chengdu | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/05/24 Challenger Wuxi | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alibek Kachmazov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/10 | Woobin Shin Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 25/10 | Dong Ju Kim Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 13/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 11/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 10/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Evan Zhu Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/10 | Charles Broom Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 05/10 | Grigoriy Lomakin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Seong Chan Hong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Yibing Wu Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Rei Sakamoto ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Sumit Nagal Asian Games |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Keisuke Saitoh M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Kousuke Ogura M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Tristan Schoolkate US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Nikoloz Basilashvili US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong Chan Hong?
Our model gives 64% to Alibek Kachmazov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.