Prediction: Alycia Parks vs Kimberly Birrell
Team pages: Alycia Parks · Kimberly Birrell
Prediction summary
Winner
Alycia Parks
Kimberly Birrell
Estimated games
21.3Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alycia Parks
4-6 (W-L)
Kimberly Birrell
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alycia Parks 1496 · Kimberly Birrell 1539
| Alycia Parks | Kimberly Birrell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kimberly Birrell (rating 1496 vs 1539).
- Kimberly Birrell is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Alycia Parks makes many double faults (8.3/match).
- Note: Kimberly Birrell makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Alycia Parks | Kimberly Birrell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-11.1 | 12.3-10 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 8.3 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +0.8
Over 20.5: 55% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 45% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alycia Parks
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Xinyu Wang WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/10 | Heather Watson WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/10 | Ena Shibahara WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 20/10 | Sara Bejlek WTA Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/10 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Aoi Ito WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Lin Zhu WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Sara Bejlek WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Kimberly Birrell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Aoi Ito WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Katie Volynets WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 03/10 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Aoi Ito WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/09 | Maya Joint WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Anna Bondar WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 26/09 | Katie Volynets WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Yexin Ma WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alycia Parks vs Kimberly Birrell?
Our model gives 60% to Kimberly Birrell, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.