Tennis · WTA Queretaro · 27/10, 17:00

Prediction: Fiona Ferro vs Sofia Johnson

Team pages: Fiona Ferro · Sofia Johnson

Prediction summary
Winner
71% 29%
Fiona Ferro Sofia Johnson
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Fiona Ferro 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWLWWWL
Sofia Johnson 3-7 (W-L)
LWLWLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fiona Ferro 1581 · Sofia Johnson 1492
Fiona FerroSofia Johnson
Our model63%37%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fiona Ferro (rating 1581 vs 1492).
  • Fiona Ferro is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Fiona FerroSofia Johnson
Win %80%40%
Win % · Clay 88% (8) –
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.60.9-1.3
Games (G-P)11.1-7.78.5-10.3
Aces0.71
Double faults1.42.4
1st serve %56.9%58.9%
Break %49.8%47.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fiona Ferro

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/10 Leyre Romero Gormaz
WTA Lisbon · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
14/10 Selena Janicijevic
WTA Lisbon · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
13/10 Aurora Zantedeschi
WTA Lisbon · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
28/09 Yidi Yang
WTA Jingshan · Hard
2-1 14-11 W
21/09 Talia Gibson
WTA Singapore · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
13/09 Noma Noha Akugue
WTA Montreux · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
12/09 Dalma Galfi
WTA Montreux · Clay
2-1 14-7 W
11/09 Lucie Havlickova
WTA Montreux · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
10/09 Barbora Palicova
WTA Montreux · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
08/09 Mona Barthel
WTA Montreux · Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Sofia Johnson

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
W50 Austin
0-2 4-12 L
15/10 Renata Zarazua
W100 Edmond
0-2 4-12 L
13/10 Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
W100 Edmond
2-1 15-12 W
12/10 Mckenna Schaefbauer
W100 Edmond
2-0 13-8 W
22/09 Maria Timofeeva
WTA Porto · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
21/09 Reese Brantmeier
WTA Porto · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
20/09 Ivana Sebestova
WTA Porto · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/09 Malaika Rapolu
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
13/09 Margaux Rouvroy
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
12/09 Matilde Jorge
W50 Evora
1-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fiona Ferro vs Sofia Johnson?

Our model gives 71% to Fiona Ferro, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.