Tennis · WTA Queretaro · 27/10, 17:00
Prediction: Polona Hercog vs Martina Capurro Taborda
Team pages: Polona Hercog · Martina Capurro Taborda
Prediction summary
Winner
Polona Hercog
Martina Capurro Taborda
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Polona Hercog
6-4 (W-L)
Martina Capurro Taborda
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polona Hercog 1476 · Martina Capurro Taborda 1436
| Polona Hercog | Martina Capurro Taborda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polona Hercog (rating 1476 vs 1436).
- Note: Martina Capurro Taborda makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Polona Hercog | Martina Capurro Taborda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.4 | 10.9-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 57% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polona Hercog
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 14/10 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Madalena Matias WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 06/10 | Alena Kovackova W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Lisa Pigato W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Naiktha Bains W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Ayana Akli W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 14/09 | Julie Struplova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Moyuka Uchijima US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Martina Capurro Taborda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Elizabeth Mandlik W50 Austin |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/10 | Kristina Penickova W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Jane Dunyon W50 Lexington |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Chloe Paquet WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 27/08 | Victoria Luiza Barros W35 Barueri |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/08 | Maayan Laron W35 Barueri |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/07 | Daria Egorova W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Berta Bonardi W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Oceane Babel W75 Vacaria |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 17/07 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polona Hercog vs Martina Capurro Taborda?
Our model gives 66% to Polona Hercog, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.