Tennis · WTA Queretaro · 27/10, 01:00
Prediction: Martina Colmegna vs Zuzanna Pawlikowska
Team pages: Martina Colmegna · Zuzanna Pawlikowska
Prediction summary
Winner
Martina Colmegna
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Martina Colmegna
5-5 (W-L)
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Martina Colmegna
1–0
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
(1 last)
- 09 Jan2-1 13-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martina Colmegna 1529 · Zuzanna Pawlikowska 1559
| Martina Colmegna | Zuzanna Pawlikowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Martina Colmegna 1–0 Zuzanna Pawlikowska (1).
- Note: Zuzanna Pawlikowska makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Martina Colmegna | Zuzanna Pawlikowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9.2 | 13.9-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Martina Colmegna 1 – 0 Zuzanna Pawlikowska (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Martina Colmegna 1–0 Zuzanna Pawlikowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/26 W35 Nairobi | 2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martina Colmegna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Francesca Jones WTA Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Alena Kovackova W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Mia Horvit W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Federica Bilardo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Mia Ristic WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/09 | Gabriella Price WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Trieste |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Nuria Brancaccio W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sofia Rocchetti W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Anna Kubareva W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 14/10 | Eleejah Inisan W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/10 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 10/10 | Denisa Zoldakova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 09/10 | Weronika Ewald W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 08/10 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Oriana Gniewkowska W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/09 | Yuliya Hatouka W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/09 | Esther Adeshina W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/09 | Ksenia Smirnova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martina Colmegna vs Zuzanna Pawlikowska?
Our model gives 52% to Zuzanna Pawlikowska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.