Tennis · WTA Queretaro · 27/10, 17:00
Prediction: Carole Monnet vs Leolia Jeanjean
Team pages: Carole Monnet · Leolia Jeanjean
Prediction summary
Winner
Carole Monnet
Leolia Jeanjean
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Carole Monnet
5-5 (W-L)
Leolia Jeanjean
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Carole Monnet
3–2
Leolia Jeanjean
(5 last)
- 11 Jan1-2 9-16L
- 16 Aug2-0 12-4W
- 07 Sept1-2 11-13L
- 06 Aug2-0 12-5W
- 02 Aug2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carole Monnet 1471 · Leolia Jeanjean 1574
| Carole Monnet | Leolia Jeanjean | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leolia Jeanjean (rating 1471 vs 1574).
- Leolia Jeanjean is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Carole Monnet 3–2 Leolia Jeanjean (5).
- Note: Carole Monnet makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Carole Monnet | Leolia Jeanjean | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.5 | 13-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 53.7% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Carole Monnet 3 – 2 Leolia Jeanjean (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carole Monnet 3–2 Leolia Jeanjean
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/24 Australian Open Women | 1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 16/08/23 WTA Barranquilla | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09/21 ITF W25 Saint Palais Sur Mer | 1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 06/08/20 UTR Pro Tennis Series France Women | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08/20 UTR Pro Tennis Series France Women | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carole Monnet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Lucie Havlickova W100 Wrexham |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 14/10 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Daria Yesypchuk WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Cagla Buyukakcay WTA Adana · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Anastasia Gasanova WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Fiona Crawley WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Sloane Stephens WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Katrina Scott WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 12/09 | Julia Garcia Ruiz WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Leolia Jeanjean
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Mariam Bolkvadze WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Lois Boisson WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 03/10 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 02/10 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Melisa Ercan WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 28/09 | Suzan Lamens WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Claire Liu WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Julieta Pareja WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Carolina Alves WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carole Monnet vs Leolia Jeanjean?
Our model gives 68% to Leolia Jeanjean, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.