Tennis · WTA Queretaro · 27/10, 17:00
Prediction: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Emiliana Arango
Team pages: Elizabeth Mandlik · Emiliana Arango
Prediction summary
Winner
Elizabeth Mandlik
Emiliana Arango
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Elizabeth Mandlik
5-5 (W-L)
Emiliana Arango
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elizabeth Mandlik
1–2
Emiliana Arango
(3 last)
- 04 Sept1-2 12-15L
- 30 Jun2-0 13-9W
- 01 Jun1-2 16-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elizabeth Mandlik 1486 · Emiliana Arango 1404
| Elizabeth Mandlik | Emiliana Arango | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elizabeth Mandlik (rating 1486 vs 1404).
- Head-to-head: Elizabeth Mandlik 1–2 Emiliana Arango (3).
- Note: Elizabeth Mandlik makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Elizabeth Mandlik | Emiliana Arango | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-12 | 8.4-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 6.5 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 58.4% |
| Break % | 44% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Elizabeth Mandlik 1 – 2 Emiliana Arango (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elizabeth Mandlik 1–2 Emiliana Arango
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/24 WTA Guadalajara 125K | 1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/06/22 ITF W100 Charleston | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/06/21 ITF W25 Santo Domingo | 1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elizabeth Mandlik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Madison Brengle W50 Austin |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/10 | Barbora Palicova W50 Austin |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/10 | Martina Capurro Taborda W50 Austin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Mayu Crossley W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Julieta Pareja W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Kristina Penickova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 07/08 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Hanna Chang W100 Landisville |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Emiliana Arango
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Ayla Aksu WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Peyton Stearns WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Maria Paulina Perez Garcia WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/08 | Xinyu Wang US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Panna Udvardy WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Venus Williams WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elizabeth Mandlik vs Emiliana Arango?
Our model gives 52% to Elizabeth Mandlik, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

