Tennis · Challenger Brest · 26/10, 14:00
Prediction: Lucas Poullain vs Matisse Bobichon
Team pages: Lucas Poullain · Matisse Bobichon
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucas Poullain
Matisse Bobichon
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lucas Poullain
4-6 (W-L)
Matisse Bobichon
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucas Poullain
0–1
Matisse Bobichon
(1 last)
- 16 Jan0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucas Poullain 1523 · Matisse Bobichon 1501
| Lucas Poullain | Matisse Bobichon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lucas Poullain 0–1 Matisse Bobichon (1).
Statistics
| Lucas Poullain | Matisse Bobichon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.7 | 10.6-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 30.1% | 32.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Lucas Poullain 0 – 1 Matisse Bobichon (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucas Poullain 0–1 Matisse Bobichon
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/25 M15 Monastir | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucas Poullain
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Timeo Trufelli Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/10 | Tom Paris Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/10 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Remy Bertola Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 23/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Matisse Bobichon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Yannik Kelm Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/10 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Billy Harris Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/10 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M15 Pontevedra |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/10 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucas Poullain vs Matisse Bobichon?
Our model gives 60% to Lucas Poullain, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.