Tennis · ATP Basel · 26/10, 15:00

Prediction: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Team pages: Daniel Altmaier · Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Daniel Altmaier Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Estimated games
23Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Altmaier 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLLWLWL
Juan Manuel Cerundolo 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLLWLLWW
Head-to-head
Daniel Altmaier 3–3 Juan Manuel Cerundolo (6 last)
  • 25 Oct0-2 9-13L
  • 23 Apr0-2 8-12L
  • 10 Feb0-2 4-12L
  • 15 May2-0 12-5W
  • 21 Aug2-0 13-8W
  • 16 Feb2-1 16-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Daniel Altmaier 1471 · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1497
Daniel AltmaierJuan Manuel Cerundolo
Our model46%54%
Market40%60%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Daniel AltmaierJuan Manuel Cerundolo
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 44% (9) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51.2-1.3
Games (G-P)11-1411.7-12.5
Aces8.45.3
Double faults2.72
1st serve %71.2%72.8%
Break %29.6%33.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 23 · Bet365 line 24.5 · -1.5
Over 24.5: 40% · 1.83 Under 24.5: 60% · 1.83

H2H · Daniel Altmaier 3 – 3 Juan Manuel Cerundolo (6)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Altmaier 3–3 Juan Manuel Cerundolo

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DateSetsGamesRes.
25/10/26
ATP Basel
0-29-13L
23/04/26
ATP Madrid
0-28-12L
10/02/26
ATP Buenos Aires
0-24-12L
15/05/25
Challenger Turin
2-012-5W
21/08/21
Challenger Luedenscheid
2-013-8W
16/02/21
Challenger Concepcion
2-116-9W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Daniel Altmaier

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/10 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Basel · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
24/10 Henry Bernet
ATP Basel · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
23/10 Taylor Fritz
ATP Lyon · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
22/10 Borna Gojo
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
20/10 Titouan Droguet
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-1 19-19 W
09/10 Ben Shelton
ATP Shanghai · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
07/10 Holger Rune
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-1 14-16 W
28/09 Jie Cui
ATP Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/09 Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup
0-2 7-12 L
02/09 Zachary Svajda
US Open · Hard
1-3 13-24 L

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/10 Daniel Altmaier
ATP Basel · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
24/10 Zachary Svajda
ATP Basel · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
20/10 Mariano Navone
ATP Brussels · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
10/10 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Shanghai · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
08/10 Nicolas Mejia
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
30/09 Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Beijing · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
26/09 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Chengdu · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
24/09 Yi Zhou
ATP Chengdu · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
01/09 Arthur Gea
US Open · Hard
2-3 19-23 L
27/08 Ignacio Buse
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
1-2 14-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo?

Our model gives 57% to Juan Manuel Cerundolo, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.