Prediction: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Fils
Team pages: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · Arthur Fils
Prediction summary
Winner
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Arthur Fils
Estimated games
24.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
4-6 (W-L)
Arthur Fils
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
2–0
Arthur Fils
(2 last)
- 13 Nov2-0 12-6W
- 18 Jul2-1 17-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 1440 · Arthur Fils 1575
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Arthur Fils | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arthur Fils (rating 1440 vs 1575).
- Arthur Fils dominates on serve: 8.9 aces and 45.5% break avg.
- Arthur Fils is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 2–0 Arthur Fils (2).
Statistics
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Arthur Fils | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.9 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-16.2 | 13.7-11.9 |
| Aces | 17.5 | 8.9 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 77.5% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 16.4% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.3
Over 22.5: 66% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 34% · 1.72
H2H · Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 2 – 0 Arthur Fils (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 2–0 Arthur Fils
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/22 Challenger Helsinki | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07/21 M25 Uriage | 2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/10 | Sebastian Baez ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 17/10 | Remy Bertola ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 13/10 | Etienne Donnet Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/08 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 12-20 | L |
| 23/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Trevor Svajda ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Yannick Hanfmann Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-25 | L |
| 16/06 | Corentin Moutet ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Arthur Fils
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 23/10 | Alex Michelsen ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/10 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Pavel Kotov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 02/10 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Luca Van Assche ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Martin Damm ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 17-23 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Fils?
Our model gives 77% to Arthur Fils, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.