Prediction: Taylor Fritz vs Rinky Hijikata
Team pages: Taylor Fritz · Rinky Hijikata
Prediction summary
Winner
Taylor Fritz
Rinky Hijikata
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Taylor Fritz
8-2 (W-L)
Rinky Hijikata
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Taylor Fritz
1–0
Rinky Hijikata
(1 last)
- 17 Feb2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taylor Fritz 1534 · Rinky Hijikata 1441
| Taylor Fritz | Rinky Hijikata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taylor Fritz (rating 1534 vs 1441).
- Head-to-head: Taylor Fritz 1–0 Rinky Hijikata (1).
Statistics
| Taylor Fritz | Rinky Hijikata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.8-12.8 | 10.1-12.3 |
| Aces | 9.6 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 76% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 33.8% | 25.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.8
Over 21.5: 63% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 37% · 1.80
H2H · Taylor Fritz 1 – 0 Rinky Hijikata (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taylor Fritz 1–0 Rinky Hijikata
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/24 ATP Delray Beach | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taylor Fritz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Tommy Paul ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/10 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Jaume Munar ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 26/09 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Laver Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 20-23 | L |
| 05/09 | Francisco Cerundolo US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-25 | L |
| 03/09 | Mattia Bellucci US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-2 | W |
Rinky Hijikata
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Terence Atmane ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Roman Safiullin ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Andrey Rublev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/09 | Felix Auger Aliassime US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 26/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taylor Fritz vs Rinky Hijikata?
Our model gives 77% to Taylor Fritz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.