Prediction: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs
Team pages: Hubert Hurkacz · Zizou Bergs
Prediction summary
Winner
Hubert Hurkacz
Zizou Bergs
Estimated games
25.2Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hubert Hurkacz
7-3 (W-L)
Zizou Bergs
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hubert Hurkacz
1–0
Zizou Bergs
(1 last)
- 20 Jan3-1 25-19W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hubert Hurkacz 1616 · Zizou Bergs 1525
| Hubert Hurkacz | Zizou Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hubert Hurkacz (rating 1616 vs 1525).
- Hubert Hurkacz dominates on serve: 14.3 aces and 56.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Hubert Hurkacz 1–0 Zizou Bergs (1).
Statistics
| Hubert Hurkacz | Zizou Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-11.4 | 11.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 14.3 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 80% | 76.4% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 33.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.2 · Bet365 line 24.5 · +0.7
Over 24.5: 55% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 45% · 1.83
H2H · Hubert Hurkacz 1 – 0 Zizou Bergs (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hubert Hurkacz 1–0 Zizou Bergs
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/26 Australian Open | 3-1 | 25-19 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hubert Hurkacz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 11/10 | Yi Zhou ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/10 | Novak Djokovic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | James Duckworth ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Arthur Gea ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 01/10 | Learner Tien ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/09 | Lloyd Harris ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Zizou Bergs
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Toby Samuel ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Tommy Paul ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/10 | Ignacio Buse ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Vit Kopriva ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/09 | Jurij Rodionov Davis Cup |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Lukas Neumayer Davis Cup |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs?
Our model gives 61% to Hubert Hurkacz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.