Prediction: Yannick Hanfmann vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Team pages: Yannick Hanfmann · Jan-Lennard Struff
Prediction summary
Winner
Yannick Hanfmann
Jan-Lennard Struff
Estimated games
25.2Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yannick Hanfmann
3-7 (W-L)
Jan-Lennard Struff
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yannick Hanfmann
1–0
Jan-Lennard Struff
(1 last)
- 13 Aug2-1 16-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yannick Hanfmann 1476 · Jan-Lennard Struff 1552
| Yannick Hanfmann | Jan-Lennard Struff | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jan-Lennard Struff (rating 1476 vs 1552).
- Head-to-head: Yannick Hanfmann 1–0 Jan-Lennard Struff (1).
Statistics
| Yannick Hanfmann | Jan-Lennard Struff | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-14.4 | 13.8-12.9 |
| Aces | 11.7 | 10.9 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 78.5% |
| Break % | 33.7% | 35.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.2 · Bet365 line 24.5 · +0.7
Over 24.5: 55% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 45% · 1.83
H2H · Yannick Hanfmann 1 – 0 Jan-Lennard Struff (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yannick Hanfmann 1–0 Jan-Lennard Struff
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/25 Challenger Cancun | 2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yannick Hanfmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 24/10 | Marcos Giron ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Martin Damm ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 28/09 | Tomas Machac ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 31/08 | Alejandro Tabilo US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-24 | L |
| 16/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Jan-Lennard Struff
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/10 | Arthur Fils ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 23/10 | Zizou Bergs ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Gauthier Onclin ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Marcos Giron ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/10 | Martin Landaluce ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Francisco Cerundolo US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-28 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yannick Hanfmann vs Jan-Lennard Struff?
Our model gives 56% to Jan-Lennard Struff, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.