Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 26/10, 05:30
Prediction: Khumoyun Sultanov vs Naoya Honda
Team pages: Khumoyun Sultanov · Naoya Honda
Prediction summary
Winner
Khumoyun Sultanov
Naoya Honda
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Khumoyun Sultanov
8-2 (W-L)
Naoya Honda
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Khumoyun Sultanov 1545 · Naoya Honda 1470
| Khumoyun Sultanov | Naoya Honda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Khumoyun Sultanov (rating 1545 vs 1470).
Statistics
| Khumoyun Sultanov | Naoya Honda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.7 | 10.3-10.3 |
| Aces | 11.3 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 81.3% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 24% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Khumoyun Sultanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Dingzheng Nima Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/10 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Xiaoyin Yang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Coleman Wong Asian Games |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Chun Hsin Tseng Asian Games |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Fanming Meng Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Hunter Heck Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Naoya Honda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Kristjan Tamm Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Jesse Flores Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Hao Duan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Ryota Tanuma M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Naoki Nakagawa M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Seiya Nakanishi M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Khumoyun Sultanov vs Naoya Honda?
Our model gives 66% to Khumoyun Sultanov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.