Prediction: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Casper Ruud
Team pages: Dominic Stephan Stricker · Casper Ruud
Prediction summary
Winner
Dominic Stephan Stricker
Casper Ruud
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dominic Stephan Stricker
7-3 (W-L)
Casper Ruud
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dominic Stephan Stricker
1–1
Casper Ruud
(2 last)
- 16 Jul0-2 11-14L
- 26 Oct2-1 16-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dominic Stephan Stricker 1531 · Casper Ruud 1522
| Dominic Stephan Stricker | Casper Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 26% | 74% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Dominic Stephan Stricker dominates on serve: 6 aces and 43.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Dominic Stephan Stricker | Casper Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.6 | 12.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 6 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 79.4% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 36.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Dominic Stephan Stricker 1 – 1 Casper Ruud (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dominic Stephan Stricker 1–1 Casper Ruud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/25 ATP Gstaad | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/10/23 ATP Basel | 2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dominic Stephan Stricker
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 14/10 | Philip Henning Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Marko Topo Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/10 | Henry Bernet Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Liam Broady Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 18/09 | Joao Fonseca Davis Cup |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Martin Krumich Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Casper Ruud
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Rafael Jodar ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/10 | Learner Tien ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/10 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Luciano Darderi ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Francisco Cerundolo Laver Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 19/09 | Fnu Nidunjianzan Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/09 | Rigele Te Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Casper Ruud?
Our model gives 63% to Casper Ruud, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.