Tennis · Challenger Brest · 26/10, 11:00
Prediction: Ugo Blanchet vs Vadym Ursu
Team pages: Ugo Blanchet · Vadym Ursu
Prediction summary
Winner
Ugo Blanchet
Vadym Ursu
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ugo Blanchet
6-4 (W-L)
Vadym Ursu
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ugo Blanchet 1518 · Vadym Ursu 1447
| Ugo Blanchet | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ugo Blanchet (rating 1518 vs 1447).
- Note: Vadym Ursu makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Ugo Blanchet | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.9 | 10.8-13.1 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 76.4% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 54.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ugo Blanchet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Samir Hamza Reguig Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 15/10 | Jerome Kym Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Tom Paris Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Nicolas Tepmahc Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 16/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Vadym Ursu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Adan Freire Da Silva Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/10 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 27/09 | Joao Domingues Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Dev Javia M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ugo Blanchet vs Vadym Ursu?
Our model gives 72% to Ugo Blanchet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.