Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 26/10, 04:00
Prediction: Semen Pankin vs Egor Pleshivtsev
Team pages: Semen Pankin · Egor Pleshivtsev
Prediction summary
Winner
Semen Pankin
Egor Pleshivtsev
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Semen Pankin
4-6 (W-L)
Egor Pleshivtsev
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Semen Pankin 1450 · Egor Pleshivtsev 1508
| Semen Pankin | Egor Pleshivtsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Egor Pleshivtsev (rating 1450 vs 1508).
- Egor Pleshivtsev is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Semen Pankin | Egor Pleshivtsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11.1 | 10.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 15.8% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Semen Pankin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Maxim Zhukov Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/10 | Dominik Palan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Xi Cheng Huang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Alex Bolt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Sheng Tang M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Yaojie Zeng M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Elias Ymer Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Egor Pleshivtsev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Dominik Palan Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/10 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Cruz Hewitt M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/10 | Ye Hongyu M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Evan Zhu M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Yanki Erel M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Yua Taka M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Arthur Laborde M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Davit Zogranian M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Semen Pankin vs Egor Pleshivtsev?
Our model gives 51% to Semen Pankin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.