Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 26/10, 05:30
Prediction: Hiroki Moriya vs Timofei Derepasko
Team pages: Hiroki Moriya · Timofei Derepasko
Prediction summary
Winner
Hiroki Moriya
Timofei Derepasko
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Hiroki Moriya
4-6 (W-L)
Timofei Derepasko
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hiroki Moriya 1503 · Timofei Derepasko 1484
| Hiroki Moriya | Timofei Derepasko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Hiroki Moriya | Timofei Derepasko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.7 | 9.4-10.9 |
| Aces | 2 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 34.6% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hiroki Moriya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Jilong Huang Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Blake Ellis Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 09/09 | Maximus Jones Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Dominik Palan Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Timofei Derepasko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Xiaoyin Yang Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Linang Xiao M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/10 | Isaac Becroft M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/10 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Matic Dimic M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 15/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hiroki Moriya vs Timofei Derepasko?
Our model gives 64% to Hiroki Moriya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.