Tennis · WTA Tokyo · 27/10, 03:00

Prediction: Tereza Valentova vs Mia Pohankova

Team pages: Tereza Valentova · Mia Pohankova

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Tereza Valentova Mia Pohankova
Estimated games
21.5Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tereza Valentova 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWLWLWW
Mia Pohankova 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tereza Valentova 1555 · Mia Pohankova 1558
Tereza ValentovaMia Pohankova
Our model50%50%
Market70%30%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Tereza Valentova makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Tereza ValentovaMia Pohankova
Win %70%70%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81.6-0.8
Games (G-P)11.8-8.912.8-10.3
Aces2.53.6
Double faults41.2
1st serve %69.2%68.2%
Break %45.2%57.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1
Over 20.5: 57% · 1.83 Under 20.5: 43% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tereza Valentova

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/10 Shuai Zhang
WTA Tokyo · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
24/10 En Shuo Liang
WTA Tokyo · Hard
2-1 15-10 W
21/10 Lilli Tagger
WTA Osaka · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
20/10 Shuai Zhang
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-1 13-12 W
29/08 Katie Volynets
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
28/08 Julia Grabher
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
27/08 Kylie Collins
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
26/08 Fangran Tian
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
24/08 Ariana Arseneault
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
17/08 Elina Svitolina
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 12-16 L

Mia Pohankova

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Maria Sakkari
WTA Wuhan · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
13/10 Xiyu Wang
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-1 19-14 W
12/10 Anna Bondar
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
26/09 Maria Timofeeva
WTA Porto · Hard
1-2 12-18 L
25/09 Katie Swan
WTA Porto · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
24/09 Veronika Podrez
WTA Porto · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
22/09 Francisca Jorge
WTA Porto · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
19/09 Gabriela Knutson
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
1-2 15-18 L
18/09 Kylie Collins
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
16/09 Matilde Jorge
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tereza Valentova vs Mia Pohankova?

Our model gives 61% to Tereza Valentova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.