Prediction: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea
Team pages: Maya Joint · Sorana Cirstea
Prediction summary
Winner
Maya Joint
Sorana Cirstea
Estimated games
21.8Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maya Joint
7-3 (W-L)
Sorana Cirstea
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maya Joint
1–1
Sorana Cirstea
(2 last)
- 06 Aug2-0 12-8W
- 06 Mar0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maya Joint 1545 · Sorana Cirstea 1508
| Maya Joint | Sorana Cirstea | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sorana Cirstea makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Maya Joint | Sorana Cirstea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-11.2 | 11.7-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 57.2% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.3
Over 20.5: 59% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 41% · 1.83
H2H · Maya Joint 1 – 1 Sorana Cirstea (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maya Joint 1–1 Sorana Cirstea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/26 WTA Toronto | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/03/25 WTA Indian Wells | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maya Joint
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Mai Hontama WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/10 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 20/10 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/10 | Kayla Day WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 17/10 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/10 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/09 | Sinja Kraus WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Dayeon Back WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Sorana Cirstea
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Sara Bejlek WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Han Shi WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Hanyu Guo WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Jessica Pegula US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Jasmine Paolini US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Diane Parry US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Julia Grabher US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Maya Joint WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea?
Our model gives 56% to Sorana Cirstea, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.